논문 국내 국내전문학술지(KCI급) 비교유추법을 이용한 국내 신재생에너지 확산과정 및 필요 R&D 투자규모 예측
- 학술지 구분 국내전문학술지(KCI급)
- 게재년월 2014-06
- 저자명 김태구공동(제1),구상회,이덕주
- 학술지명 대한산업공학회지
- 발행처명 대한산업공학회
- 발행국가 국내
- 논문언어 외국어
- 전체저자수 3
홈페이지논문 초록 (Abstract)
The purpose of this study is to forecast the penetration rate of renewable energy and a reasonable scale for the R&D investment plan in Korea based on the relationship between the diffusion and R&D investments drawn by analogy from empirical cases of advanced countries. Among numerous candidate developed countries, the German market was chosen based on the similarity of the diffusion patterns to those of the Korean plan. We then figured out how the investment triggers the growth of technology from the selected benchmark, and applied thetechnology S-curve relation formula to derive the desirable investment plan for Korea. The present paper is a pioneering attempt to forecast the diffusion process of renewable energy technology in Korea using the comparative analogy from cases of advanced countries.